OECD Warns Surging Steel Production Capacity Could Threaten Market Stability, Jobs, and Decarbonization Efforts,環境イノベーション情報機構


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OECD Warns Surging Steel Production Capacity Could Threaten Market Stability, Jobs, and Decarbonization Efforts

The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has issued a warning about the rapid increase in global steel production capacity, highlighting the potential risks this poses to the stability of the steel market, employment in the industry, and the ongoing efforts to decarbonize steel production.

The Problem: Capacity Outpacing Demand

The core issue is a fundamental imbalance: steel production capacity is expanding at a faster rate than the actual global demand for steel. This overcapacity creates several problems:

  • Price Volatility: When supply significantly exceeds demand, it puts downward pressure on prices. Steel companies might engage in aggressive price competition to secure sales, potentially leading to unsustainable profit margins and financial instability. This volatility makes it difficult for companies to invest in long-term improvements, like cleaner technologies.

  • Trade Disputes: Overcapacity often leads to countries dumping excess steel on international markets at artificially low prices (below production cost). This harms domestic steel industries in importing countries, leading to trade friction, protectionist measures like tariffs, and ultimately, disruptions to global trade flows.

  • Job Losses: Companies struggling with low prices and reduced profitability may be forced to cut production, restructure, or even close down facilities. This inevitably leads to job losses in the steel sector and related industries. The impact can be particularly severe in regions heavily reliant on steel production for employment.

  • Hindered Decarbonization: The steel industry is a major contributor to global carbon emissions. Decarbonizing steel production requires significant investments in new technologies, such as hydrogen-based steelmaking, carbon capture and storage, and the use of more recycled steel. When companies are struggling with low profitability due to overcapacity, they are less likely to prioritize and afford these expensive but crucial investments in decarbonization. The pressure to cut costs might even lead to the use of cheaper, more polluting production methods.

Why is Steel Capacity Increasing?

Several factors contribute to the expansion of steel production capacity:

  • Economic Growth Aspirations: Many countries, particularly in developing regions, see steel production as a key component of their industrialization and economic growth strategies. They invest heavily in new steel plants to support infrastructure development and manufacturing.
  • State Subsidies: Government subsidies to steel producers, whether direct financial support or indirect benefits like preferential access to resources or lower energy costs, can artificially inflate production capacity and distort market dynamics. Subsidies can keep inefficient or uncompetitive plants operating, exacerbating overcapacity.
  • Technological Advancements: New technologies are making it easier and cheaper to build steel plants, even on a smaller scale. This can contribute to the proliferation of steel production facilities in different regions.
  • Lack of Global Coordination: There is currently no effective global mechanism to coordinate steel production capacity or address the issue of overcapacity. This lack of coordination allows the problem to persist and even worsen over time.

OECD’s Concerns and Recommendations:

The OECD is particularly concerned about the following:

  • The potential for a renewed steel crisis: The current situation echoes previous periods of steel overcapacity that led to significant market disruptions and economic hardship.
  • The undermining of climate goals: The failure to address overcapacity will make it much harder for the steel industry to meet its decarbonization targets, hindering global efforts to combat climate change.

The OECD typically recommends a multi-faceted approach to address the problem:

  • Increased Transparency: Improve data collection and transparency regarding steel production capacity, demand, and trade flows. This would allow for better monitoring of market trends and early identification of potential problems.
  • Phasing out subsidies: Governments should eliminate distorting subsidies that artificially inflate steel production capacity.
  • Strengthening trade rules: Enforce existing trade rules to prevent dumping and unfair trade practices. Consider updating trade rules to better address the specific challenges of steel overcapacity.
  • Promoting innovation and decarbonization: Incentivize investments in clean steel technologies and promote the use of recycled steel.
  • International cooperation: Establish a forum for international cooperation to address the issue of steel overcapacity and promote a more sustainable and equitable steel market. This may involve production limits or agreements.

In conclusion, the OECD’s warning highlights the urgent need for action to address the growing problem of steel overcapacity. Failure to do so could have serious consequences for the stability of the steel market, employment in the industry, and the global effort to decarbonize the economy. Concerted action by governments, industry, and international organizations is essential to ensure a sustainable future for the steel sector.


OECD、生産能力の急増が鉄鋼市場の安定、雇用、脱炭素化を脅すと警告


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At 2025-06-11 01:05, ‘OECD、生産能力の急増が鉄鋼市場の安定、雇用、脱炭素化を脅すと警告’ was published according to 環境イノベーション情報機構. Please write a detailed article with related information in an easy-to-understand manner. Please answer in English.


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